京津城际高速铁路运营初期运量结构分析

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Abstract Research purposes: The initial volume of a high － speed railway is composed of the transfer traffic volume and the induced volume． The initial traffic volume structure of the Beijing － Tianjin intercity high － speed railway is analyzed in order to know its initial traffic volume structure． Research conclusions: As a new traffic mode，the operation of high － speed railway will certainly break the balance of the existing transportation system and produce the transfer and induced traffic volumes． With the operation of high － speed railway being mature and the time being lapsed，the various traffic modes will build a new balance and the transfer and induced traffic volumes of high － speed railway will disappear gradually，and following it，the trend traffic volume of high － speed railway along with the other transportation modes will come based on the new system balance．

Key words： high － speed railway transfer traffic volume induced traffic volume trend traffic volume

Received: 06 March 2012

PACS:

U294． 1 +3

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http://tdgcxb.crec.cn/EN/ OR http://tdgcxb.crec.cn/EN/Y2012/V29/I5/79

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