从铁路发展战略的高度,在对我国国情、铁路运输的特点和目前的客运量水平以及公路 发展对铁路的影响等方面分析论证的基础上,提出我国铁路客运市场具有巨大的发展前景，应加 强客运规划工作,建议实施规划客流的动态预测，编制旅客列车开行方案规划和研究旅客列车速 度、密度、重量的合理匹配,为保持铁路的持续发展,必须增加资金投入和强化管理。

This paper,from the height of railway development strategy,describes the great prospect of rail passenger transport development and the necessity of strengthening the transport planning work based on the analysis and demonstration of the actual situation and conditions in China, railway transportation characteristic, current level of rail passenger transport volume，and influence of highway expansion to the railway ? The paper suggests that a dynamic forecast of passenger flow should be made, the running scheme of passenger trains should be compiled and the reasonable matching with the speed,density and weight of the passenger train should be studied as well. It is suggested that the management of capital investment should also be strengthened in order to ensure a continuous development of the railway.