Analysis of Initial Traffic Volume Structure of Beijing － Tianjin Intercity High － speed Railway
REN Jun － hua 1 ，REN Min 2
1． College of Computing ＆ Communication Engineering Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences， Beijing 100049，China; 2． Economic and Planning Research Institute of the Ministry of Railway，Beijing 100038，China
Abstract：Research purposes: The initial volume of a high － speed railway is composed of the transfer traffic volume and the induced volume． The initial traffic volume structure of the Beijing － Tianjin intercity high － speed railway is analyzed in order to know its initial traffic volume structure． Research conclusions: As a new traffic mode，the operation of high － speed railway will certainly break the balance of the existing transportation system and produce the transfer and induced traffic volumes． With the operation of high － speed railway being mature and the time being lapsed，the various traffic modes will build a new balance and the transfer and induced traffic volumes of high － speed railway will disappear gradually，and following it，the trend traffic volume of high － speed railway along with the other transportation modes will come based on the new system balance．
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2012, Vol. 29 
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