Abstract：Research purposes: Aiming at the variable cause and the high degree of destroy and damage of the railway project construction risks, this paper explores an effective appraise method combining nature and quality together so as to improve the bid efficiency and the construction benefit.
Research methods: Based on the fully analyze of the risk of the railway project construction the method of Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation in comprehensive appraisal for Railway Project Contract risk was detailed described. Firstly, the risks in the railway project contract including technological risks, environmental risks, personal risks, have been penetrated in to and the appraise index system was build up based on the risks analysis. Then, every risk factor was given a relatively mark by the experienced technical staff to form the estimate matrix following by the principle of analytic hierarchy process. So the significance weights of the appraise indexes were calculated. Thirdly, every risk factor was given a mark by experts consulting the criterion of risk grade, so the subjection function and subjection matrix formed. Multiplayer fuzzy comprehensive evaluation was carried on to give the final result.
Research results: At the end of the text the case of China Railway 16TM Group Co., Ltd bidding for tunnel named Wu Shaoling which belongs to the Lan Wu railway was applied to qualify scientific and feasibility of the method.
Research conclusions: This text will offer some reference to the risk management for railway project contractor.
王卫刚，刘俊娥，刘敬严. 运用模糊综合评判法评价铁路工程承包风险[J]. 铁道工程学报, 2006, 23(2): 87-91.
WANG Wei-gang, LIU Jun'e, LIU Jing-yan. FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION TO RISK OF THE RAILWAY PROJECT CONTRACT. 铁道工程学报, 2006, 23(2): 87-91.
2006, Vol. 23 
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