Abstract：Research purposes: The reliability of the advanced geological forecasting for tunnel construction has puzzled engineering technical personnel all the time, and the accuracies of the forecasting result and the forecasting data are crucial to the tunnel construction. If the problems existed in the current forecasting methods and technologies are realized correctly, it will favour continuous improving the forecasting technical level. This paper discusses the main influence factors on the reliability of the advanced geological forecasting for tunnel construction and points out the problems and limitations existed in the current forecasting methods in the areas of the forecasting method, interpretation, space orientation, wave velocity orientation and survey capacity.
Research conclusions: (1) Most of forecasting methods have limitations at present, so it is necessary to correctly understand and analyze the forecasting result. (2) Under the complicated geological condition, the comprehensively advanced geological forecasting should be conducted with many methods to verify and supplement them each other. (3) The forecasting reliability and precision can be enhanced by using the synthesized parameterand and space forecasting theory, method and technology.
叶英. 隧道施工超前地质预报可靠性研究[J]. 铁道工程学报, 2013, 30(1): 66-71.
YE Ying. Research on Reliability of Advanced Geological Forecasting for Tunnel Construction. 铁道工程学报, 2013, 30(1): 66-71.
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2013, Vol. 30 
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