|
|
|
| Research on the Prediction of Project Cost in Bidding Stage Based on New Bill Quantity of Construction Works |
| LV Tie-sheng |
| Northern Engineering Co.Ltd, China Railway Construction Engineering Group, Tianjin 300451, China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Research purposes：The Chinese project valuation is in line with the international conventions gradually. Those unseasonable and uneasy to be followed terms and tabular formats have been revised in newly revised and implemented 2008 Valuation Code with Bill Quantity for Construction Works. In particular, the contents of how to prepare tender offer with bill quantity pricing and how to share the risks are added. This sets an even higher demands on construction enterprises in conducting the project cost prediction. However the currently common-used cost prediction method could not meet the development need completely, so the new method should be sought.
Research conclusions：Based on the international and domestic project valuations and the new demands of cost prediction, five methods for cost prediction in quantum are summed up, a program is designed for the cost prediction, and the new thoughts is presented on using the different methods for the projects with different composing elements. The verification shows the cost prediction methods presented in this paper can predict the project cost accurately and timely with a good applicable value.
|
|
Received: 07 January 2009
|
|
|
|
|
|
[ 1 ] 缪长江. 建设工程项目管理[M]. 北京: 中国建筑工业出版社, 2007.
[ 2 ] 田径. 运用统计学方法提高复合标报价水平[J]. 铁道工程学报, 2006(4): 92-96.
[ 3 ] 张颖. 日本公路工程合理定价方法研究及对我国的启示[J]. 铁道工程学报, 2008(3): 102-107.
[ 4 ] 《建设工程工程量清单计价规范》编制组. 《建设工程工程量清单计价规范》宣贯辅导教材[M]. 北京: 中国计划出版社, 2008.
[ 5 ] GB50500—2008, 建设工程工程量清单计价规范[S].
[ 6 ] 虞和锡. 工程经济学[M]. 北京: 中国计划出版社, 2002.
[ 7 ] 柯洪. 工程造价计价与控制[M]. 北京: 中国计划出版社, 2006.
|
|
|
|
2009, Vol. 26 
